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Open markets
10+
Categories
6+
Forecasters
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SportsWill Real Madrid win the Champions League final?YES 58%|
SportsWill the Lakers reach the 2026 NBA Finals?YES 24%|
SportsWill Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?YES 41%|
WeatherWill NYC see more than 2 inches of rain this Saturday?YES 67%|
WeatherWill London exceed 32°C any day in June?YES 52%|
WeatherWill the first named Atlantic storm form before June 15?YES 38%|
PoliticsWill the Fed cut rates at the March FOMC?YES 71%|
PoliticsWill the UK hold a snap general election in 2026?YES 17%|
PoliticsWill the EU amend the AI Act this year?YES 33%|
Natural EventsWill Japan experience a magnitude 6+ earthquake this month?YES 62%|
Natural EventsWill the Reykjanes peninsula erupt again before August?YES 74%|
Natural EventsWill an X-class solar flare occur in the next 30 days?YES 81%|
MarketsWill Bitcoin close above $100,000 at year end?YES 64%|
MarketsWill the S&P 500 set a new all-time high this quarter?YES 49%|
MarketsWill Brent crude trade above $90 before September?YES 28%|
CultureWill an A24 film win Best Picture next ceremony?YES 31%|
CultureWill Taylor Swift announce a new album before October?YES 56%|
CultureWill OpenAI release a model branded 'GPT-6' in 2026?YES 22%|
SportsWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2026?YES 44%|
WeatherWill a typhoon make landfall near Tokyo in August?YES 47%|
PoliticsWill the US federal government shut down before Sept 30?YES 36%|
Natural EventsWill Yellowstone record a 100+ event quake swarm this month?YES 19%|
MarketsWill ETH's market cap exceed BTC's this year?YES 6%|
SportsWill the 2030 World Cup expand to 64 teams?YES 29%|
SportsWill Real Madrid win the Champions League final?YES 58%|
SportsWill the Lakers reach the 2026 NBA Finals?YES 24%|
SportsWill Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?YES 41%|
WeatherWill NYC see more than 2 inches of rain this Saturday?YES 67%|
WeatherWill London exceed 32°C any day in June?YES 52%|
WeatherWill the first named Atlantic storm form before June 15?YES 38%|
PoliticsWill the Fed cut rates at the March FOMC?YES 71%|
PoliticsWill the UK hold a snap general election in 2026?YES 17%|
PoliticsWill the EU amend the AI Act this year?YES 33%|
Natural EventsWill Japan experience a magnitude 6+ earthquake this month?YES 62%|
Natural EventsWill the Reykjanes peninsula erupt again before August?YES 74%|
Natural EventsWill an X-class solar flare occur in the next 30 days?YES 81%|
MarketsWill Bitcoin close above $100,000 at year end?YES 64%|
MarketsWill the S&P 500 set a new all-time high this quarter?YES 49%|
MarketsWill Brent crude trade above $90 before September?YES 28%|
CultureWill an A24 film win Best Picture next ceremony?YES 31%|
CultureWill Taylor Swift announce a new album before October?YES 56%|
CultureWill OpenAI release a model branded 'GPT-6' in 2026?YES 22%|
SportsWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2026?YES 44%|
WeatherWill a typhoon make landfall near Tokyo in August?YES 47%|
PoliticsWill the US federal government shut down before Sept 30?YES 36%|
Natural EventsWill Yellowstone record a 100+ event quake swarm this month?YES 19%|
MarketsWill ETH's market cap exceed BTC's this year?YES 6%|
SportsWill the 2030 World Cup expand to 64 teams?YES 29%|
/ Featured this week
Open for predictions
SportsCloses in 2d 1h
Will Real Madrid win the Champions League final?YES 58%NO 42%
Open for predictions
WeatherCloses in 33d 5h
Will London exceed 32°C any day in June?YES 52%NO 48%
Open for predictions
SportsCloses in 193d 5h
Will Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?YES 41%NO 59%
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/ Leaderboard
Sharpest forecasters
#ForecasterAccuracyBrierStreak
01@kalman_filter Markets78.4%0.11814
02@tempest_owl Weather76.1%0.1249
03@silver_lining Politics74.9%0.1316
04@delta_v Sports73.7%0.13711
05@plate_tectonic Natural Events72.0%0.1424
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